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Two-Stage Screening: Benford’s Law as a Stationary Distribution Combined With First-Order Markov Tests

by Noah Green CPA CFE | Apr 30, 2026 | DD Tech Lab

Benford’s Law and first-order Markov anomaly detection are usually presented as separate tools. Practitioners run each in isolation, get two binary “deviation / no deviation” signals, and either use a single tool or take the OR of both. The...

Date-Pattern Analysis: Weekend Postings, End-of-Period Clustering, and Holiday Anomalies

by Noah Green CPA CFE | Apr 27, 2026 | DD Tech Lab

Management override of internal controls frequently manifests through journal-entry timing patterns. PCAOB AS 2401.A.5 identifies three temporal characteristics that elevate entries from routine to requiring substantive testing: entries posted on non-business days,...

Stochastic Volatility Models for Restatement-Timing Anomalies

by Noah Green CPA CFE | Apr 23, 2026 | DD Tech Lab

Public-company restatements do not arrive at a constant rate. They cluster — temporally (Sarbanes-Oxley wave 2004-2006, financial-crisis wave 2008-2010, revenue-recognition-standard wave 2018-2019) and cross-sectionally (industries with similar accounting complexity...

Round-Number Bias and Threshold-Avoidance Pattern Detection: When Approval Limits Drive the Distribution

by Noah Green CPA CFE | Apr 20, 2026 | DD Tech Lab

A disbursement file containing 5,250 vendor payments reveals its control architecture through statistical anomalies. The auditor observes 285 payments clustered in the narrow $9,500–$9,999 range while only 42 payments appear in the adjacent $10,000–$10,499 range — an...

Markov Decision Processes for Risk-Based Audit Sampling Under Cost-of-Type-II Constraints

by Noah Green CPA CFE | Apr 16, 2026 | DD Tech Lab

Risk-based audit sampling under PCAOB AS 2315 directs the engagement team to allocate substantive procedures toward higher-risk accounts. The continuous version of that decision — how heavily, in what sequence, with what update rule as new evidence arrives — is a...

Time-Series Anomaly Detection in Excel: Rolling Z-Scores, Exponentially-Smoothed Residuals, and the Period-Over-Period Variance Diagnostic

by Noah Green CPA CFE | Apr 13, 2026 | DD Tech Lab

Year-over-year percent change with a 10% threshold remains the most common analytical procedure on multi-period balance trends. The metric has known limitations the practitioner should account for: it is undefined when the base is near zero, it carries no notion of...
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